My heart goes out to all those who lost their homes in the devastating wildfires in Southern California. The fires have displaced thousands of residents, many of whom will look for a home somewhere else.
From CalMatters.org
57,606 Acres Burned So Far This Year
16,188 Structures Damaged or Destroyed
Some of those who no longer have homes to go home to are going to come to Tucson, including the Catalina Foothills, looking for homes to rent or to buy. It is inevitable, as Tucson has long been a popular place for Californians to move to and I suspect the current conditions in Southern Cal are only going to make Tucson, and other places in AZ and elsewhere, even more desirable and popular in the months ahead.
Long before the recent fires started data from The Eller College of Management at the University of Arizona's Economic and Business Research Center shows that California is the top state bringing migrants to Arizona, including Tucson.
The Eller College Data:
- In 2023, 54,222 people moved from California to Arizona, which was the fifth largest state-to-state migration flow in the country.
- California contributed 22.8% of the domestic migrants to Tucson in 2023.
- The Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim MSA sent the most domestic migrants to Tucson in 2022.
- Over the past decade, more than 630,000 people have moved from California to Arizona, which is an average of 173 people per day.
- Arizona is the second most popular destination for people moving out of California.

From Realtor.com (August 2024)
Californians sick of their state’s high home prices are shopping across the country for better real estate deals. Texas is by far the most popular destination for Californians, with an estimated 102,000 residents in the Golden State moving to the Lone Star State in 2022, according to Texas Realtors’ 2024 Texas Relocation Report.
While Texas might top Californians’ list of most-desired relocation destinations, Realtor.com data also shows that they’re perusing plenty of listings in Arizona (7.5%) , Nevada (7.4%), Florida (6.7%), Oregon (5.8%), Washington (4.8%), Tennessee (4.7%), Illinois (4.1%), Idaho (3.5%), and Missouri (2.9%). While the affordability of homes for sale in these states varies, they’re all bargains compared to California “Seeking affordability is one of the key reason that Californians shopped in these states,” says Realtor.com senior economist Jiayi Xu,
Boots on the Ground View:
The influx from California is likely to impact the Foothills market and I will provide updates as the situation unfolds.
Catalina Foothills Homes
John Schneider, Realtor® | Tierra Antigua Realty
TheFoothillsToday.com | TheTucsonFoothills.com
[email protected] | 520 271- 4164
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